Philadelphia Eagles Odds, Predictions, and Betting Preview 2022: Will Hurts Fly or Fall Flat?

The Philadelphia Eagles are on par with tropical cocktails and sunscreen when it comes to hot summer commodities. 

Philly caught everyone’s attention with a playoff berth in 2021 and made waves before the draft by trading for wide receiver A.J. Brown, following that with a solid draft class. That pumped up the Eagles’ NFL odds, with futures, the win total, and lookahead lines all seeing positive movement across the market.

Are those optimistic opinions right or is Philly just a summer crush for NFL bettors? We spread our wings and soar with our Philadelphia Eagles 2022 betting preview.

Philadelphia Eagles futures odds

Futures bet
Odds
To win Super Bowl+3,000
To win conference+1,500
To win division+155
Season Win Total O/U9.5 (Over -125)
To Make PlayoffsYes -165 / No +145

Best futures bet: Make playoffs – Yes (-165)

Eagles futures have been on the move since the spring, with markets like winning the NFC East moving from +250 to +155 and the win total jumping a full victory from 8.5 (Over -140) in May to 9.5 (Over -125) at the start of training camp. 

The playoff prop also shifted from “Yes” -115 to -165 and the “No” jumped from -105 to +145. If you’ve read my betting previews for Arizona and New Orleans — likely the two teams to challenge for an NFC Wild Card spot — you’ll see I’m not in love with either, in terms of win totals, so the Eagles are the fit.

On top of a great rushing game and an improved defense in Year 2 under coordinator Jonathan Gannon, Philadelphia’s light schedule isn’t asking Jalen Hurts and this passing attack to be the 2007 Patriots.

Philadelphia Eagles betting overview

What will win bets: Ground and pound

All the attention is on Hurts and the progression of the passing game, but when shit hits the fan in Philly, the Eagles are going to run you down. Philadelphia finished atop the league in rushing yards last season, with a deep group of dynamic running backs along with Hurts’ ability to make plays with his legs.

The gears of this rushing attack are solid up front with one of the best run-blocking offensive lines in the business. Not only does this wear down foes over four quarters but can also protect leads late in games — leads needed to cover your precious point spreads.

What will lose bets: Dr. Jalen & Mr. Hurts

Hurts’ legitimacy as a quality quarterback will come to a head in 2022. He’s set up to succeed, with outstanding receivers, a run game holding defenses down, and one of the best offensive lines keeping him clean. In the end, though, he’s going to have to make throws.

Hurts’ best games under center came against crap competition in 2021 and the Eagles’ second-half surge had little to do with his play (they actually took the ball out of his hands more often) and more to do with an embarrassing schedule of weak foes or teams plagued by injuries/COVID.

Tampa Bay showed us what’s what with the Eagles’ QB in the playoffs, building a wall against the run and begging Hurts to throw the ball. He did not do well. If Hurts doesn’t make opposing defenses respect him, all is doomed.

More Covers NFL betting analysis

  • Super Bowl odds
  • NFL MVP odds
  • Comeback Player of the Year odds
  • Defensive Player of the Year odds

Philadelphia Eagles game-by-game odds

The football gods gifted Philadelphia the 30th-ranked strength of schedule (life in the NFC East while drawing AFC South in non-conference play) and my QB SOS follows suit, pitting the Eagles against the softest slate of rival passers in the land.

The lookahead lines have the Eagles as favorites in at least a dozen games, depending on where you bet, which exceeds their win total of 9.5 at sportsbooks. 

Philly is far from a runaway chalk in those contests, save for matchups with Jacksonville and Houston, giving four or fewer points in 10 of those 12 contests as favorites. Short faves have been point spread poison in recent years, with teams between -1 and -4 going just 160-219-4 against the spread the past three seasons (42%).

Week
Opponent
Spread
Total
1@ Detroit-446.5
2vs. Minnesota-2.548
3@ Washington-146.5
4vs. Jacksonville-6.547.5
5@ Arizona+2.549.5
6vs. DallasPK49.5
7BYE
8vs. Pittsburgh-443.5
9@ Houston-6.547
10vs. Washington-444.5
11@ Indianapolis+347.5
12vs. Green Bay+2.546.5
13vs. Tennessee-1.545
14@ NY Giants-2.545
15@ Chicago-343.5
16@ Dallas+449.5
17vs. New Orleans-343.5
18vs. NY Giants-442

Philadelphia Eagles pro betting insights

Hitman, professional bettor (@Hitman428)

The Eagles have built a very talented roster, but I have questions about the quarterback. I think Philly will be a bully when playing inferior teams, but struggle against top tier teams (similar to last season).

Catch the Hitman NFL Release Show on Covers every Thursday and Friday throughout the NFL season!

Adam Chernoff, The Simple Handicap podcast (@adamchernoff)

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